Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.051824 0.060799 0.070818 0.082828 0.096828 0.112629 0.131816
2025-08-17 0.036382 0.047576 0.061436 0.079838 0.103613 0.133282 0.173117
2025-08-24 0.028419 0.040402 0.056469 0.079538 0.111775 0.155194 0.218107
2025-08-31 0.022930 0.034932 0.052116 0.078436 0.117663 0.173903 0.260630
2025-09-07 0.019705 0.031865 0.050288 0.080116 0.127099 0.198156 0.313715
2025-09-14 0.016704 0.028503 0.047312 0.079321 0.132297 0.216335 0.359645
2025-09-21 0.014117 0.025309 0.044001 0.077297 0.134952 0.230484 0.400592
2025-09-28 0.011971 0.022472 0.040787 0.074824 0.136287 0.242317 0.438810
2025-10-05 0.010857 0.021263 0.040154 0.076658 0.145165 0.267798 0.503530
2025-10-12 0.009744 0.019868 0.038958 0.077236 0.151739 0.289843 0.564637
2025-10-19 0.008756 0.018553 0.037704 0.077477 0.157615 0.311159 0.626823
2025-10-26 0.007996 0.017572 0.036946 0.078546 0.165159 0.336385 0.699449
2025-11-02 0.007433 0.016938 0.036832 0.080982 0.175930 0.369522 0.792703
2025-11-09 0.006470 0.015291 0.034391 0.078208 0.175545 0.380235 0.841504
2025-11-16 0.005841 0.014291 0.033193 0.077943 0.180462 0.402459 0.917370
2025-11-23 0.005232 0.013242 0.031733 0.076868 0.183409 0.420753 0.986847
2025-11-30 0.004880 0.012751 0.031473 0.078517 0.192742 0.454111 1.094138
2025-12-07 0.004415 0.011909 0.030268 0.077738 0.196255 0.474702 1.174464
2025-12-14 0.003938 0.010958 0.028665 0.075753 0.196576 0.487886 1.238809
2025-12-21 0.003495 0.010029 0.026983 0.073329 0.195473 0.497508 1.295626
2025-12-28 0.003302 0.009749 0.026932 0.075126 0.205357 0.535074 1.426720
2026-01-04 0.003070 0.009326 0.026445 0.075693 0.212096 0.565562 1.543445
2026-01-11 0.002847 0.008891 0.025865 0.075930 0.217979 0.594545 1.659785